Dunbar Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton
Tract 39113003900 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,139 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
39113003900 is a census tract in the Dunbar Historic District area of Dayton, OH. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,139 residents. Food insecurity runs 49.6% against 17.8% nationally.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7545, -84.2435 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dunbar Historic District scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Dunbar Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 86%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 682Total filings over 17 yrs
- 8.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.6%Peak (2018)
- 52Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Dunbar Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 35.7%Housing insecurity
- 31.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 49.6%Food insecurity
- 54.6%SNAP enrollment
- 25.3%Transit barriers
- 15.6%No health insurance
- 22.7%Frequent mental distress
- 49.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Dunbar Historic District
SNAP participation runs 54.6% against 15.2% nationally. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.2/10.
The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $29,897, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.
Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 682 filings here across 17 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2018, when 10.6% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 39113003900
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113003900?
What is the average rent in tract 39113003900?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113003900?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113003900?
Is tract 39113003900 considered part of Dunbar Historic District?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113003900?
What share of households in tract 39113003900 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39113003900 compare to Dayton overall?
Was tract 39113003900 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.