West Bayfront Eviction Risk: Moderate , Erie

Cost burden runs 54% here against 42.3% across Erie County. Set annual rent against average income of $36,235 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Erie County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 7.7/10. Average gross rent is $1,062, 22% above the Erie average.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 703 filings here across 7 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 12.4% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 10.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.