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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally

South Erie Hillside Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 42049001900 · Erie County, PA · pop 1,705 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 42049001900 covers South Erie Hillside in Erie, home to 1,705 residents. For landlords it grades 6.5/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $699 monthly, set against $22,050 in average yearly household income, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 92% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 41% Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units869
Renter share92.1%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate47.8%
Median income$22,050

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In South Erie Hillside
Moderate
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 31 tracts In Erie
Elevated
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 73 tracts In Erie County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#95 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Erie and the region

Centroid at 42.1132, -80.0797 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Erie Hillside scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
47.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$699 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0

How South Erie Hillside compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Erie Hillside risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.96.9This tracttract 001900Erie: 4.84.8Erieparent cityCounty: 4.94.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 340Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 6.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.7%Peak (2001)
  • 51Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420490019002000: 51 filings (6.33/100 renter HHs)2001: 54 filings (6.70/100 renter HHs)2002: 51 filings (6.33/100 renter HHs)2003: 48 filings (5.96/100 renter HHs)2004: 41 filings (5.09/100 renter HHs)2005: 44 filings (7.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 51 filings (8.11/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Erie Hillside

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Erie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 340 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 6.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.7% of renter households in 2001.

Part of this tract, about 18% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42049001900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049001900?

Census tract 42049001900 in the South Erie Hillside neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42049001900?

Median gross rent is $699/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42049001900?

47.8% of residents in tract 42049001900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,705.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42049001900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 61th, minority 34th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 42049001900 considered part of South Erie Hillside?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049001900 fall within South Erie Hillside (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049001900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 340 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049001900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.50% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42049001900 compare to Erie overall?

Tract 42049001900 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Erie at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42049001900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 18% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Erie

Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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