Eviction Risk in Little Italy , Erie
Tract 42049002000 · Erie County, PA · pop 3,122 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 42049002000 sits in the Little Italy neighborhood of Erie, Pennsylvania. It has a population of 3,122 and an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). 46% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 28% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $987/month against a median household income of $50,839 — roughly 23% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 3,183 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 12.5%
- White (non-Hispanic) 67.5%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 8%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 4.7%
- Other / Multiracial 7.2%
How the 6.3/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 8.2 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 3.4 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 5.1 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 5.5 | Erie (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 3.5 | Erie (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 5.0 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 4.5 | Erie (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 5.0 | Erie (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 7.9 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 3.8 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 290Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.7%Peak (2005)
- 46Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Little Italy. Closest by composite score.
Dominant grade: B — still desirable
Approximately 69% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Erie. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 69.2%B (Desirable)
- 0.0%C (Declining)
- 0.0%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 42049002000
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049002000?
Census tract 42049002000 in the Little Italy neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 42049002000?
Median gross rent is $987/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049002000?
31.4% of residents in tract 42049002000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,122.
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049002000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 11th, minority 49th, housing 14th.
Is tract 42049002000 considered part of Little Italy?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049002000 fall within Little Italy (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049002000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 290 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049002000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.66% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Was tract 42049002000 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is B (Still Desirable). Roughly 0% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Erie. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.