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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Grandview Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lancaster

Tract 42071011802 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 6,802 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 42071011802 sits in the Grandview Heights area of Lancaster eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. It is home to 6,802 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 19% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,734
Renter share33.1%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$96,678

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Grandview Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 21 tracts In Lancaster
Very Low
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 116 tracts In Lancaster County
Elevated
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#1,298 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 40.0609, -76.2919 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grandview Heights scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,430 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9

How Grandview Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grandview Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0118025.2Lancasterparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 154Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 4.01%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.2%Peak (2006)
  • 32Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42071011802
Filings climbed 19% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grandview Heights

28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.2/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Average gross rent is $1,430, 15% above the Lancaster average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 154 filings here across 7 tracked years.

Against the Lancaster County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2006 at 6.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lancaster. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071011802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071011802?

Census tract 42071011802 in the Grandview Heights neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42071011802?

Median gross rent is $1,430/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071011802?

8.8% of residents in tract 42071011802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,802.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071011802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 65th, minority 39th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 42071011802 considered part of Grandview Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071011802 fall within Grandview Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071011802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071011802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.01% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42071011802 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 42071011802 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Lancaster at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42071011802 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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