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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

College Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Lancaster

Tract 42071013503 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 3,204 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The College Park neighborhood of Lancaster anchors census tract 42071013503, which lands at 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 41st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 19% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,112 a month against an average household income of $165,012 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 11% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,419
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$165,012

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In College Park
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 21 tracts In Lancaster
Very Low
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#55 of 116 tracts In Lancaster County
Moderate
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#2,003 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 40.0449, -76.3344 · click any tract to drill in

Why College Park scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,112 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.9

How College Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
College Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 013503Lancaster: 4.14.1Lancasterparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 14Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 1.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.7%Peak (2002)
  • 2Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420710135032000: 2 filings (1.13/100 renter HHs)2001: 1 filings (0.56/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (1.69/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (1.69/100 renter HHs)2004: 1 filings (0.56/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (1.17/100 renter HHs)2006: 2 filings (1.17/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within College Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in College Park

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lancaster County average of 5.3 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 14 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 1.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.7% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42071013503

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071013503?

Census tract 42071013503 in the College Park neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42071013503?

Median gross rent is $2,112/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42071013503?

2.3% of residents in tract 42071013503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,204.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42071013503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 5th, minority 19th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 42071013503 considered part of College Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071013503 fall within College Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071013503?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071013503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.14% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42071013503 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 42071013503 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lancaster at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42071013503 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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