Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Fox Point Eviction Risk: Elevated , Providence

Tract 44007003700 · Providence County, RI · pop 3,783 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 44007003700 sits in the Fox Point area of Providence eviction risk, RI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. It is home to 3,783 residents. Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.

Risk score

7.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 40% Owners 36%

Tract context

Occupied units1,875

Renter share64.4%

SVI overall0.48

Poverty rate21.7%

Median income$89,508

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Centroid at 41.8182, -71.3964 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fox Point scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Providence

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Rhode Island legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

21.7% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$1,667 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Providence

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Providence

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Providence

6.5

How Fox Point compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

58%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
80%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
2%Grade B
37%Grade C
56%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

38Total filings over 2 yrs
1.67%Avg annual filing rate
2.2%Peak (2016)
25Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

82Total filings 2020-21
1.1Avg monthly (observed)
1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
0.71×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.7%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
12.5%Food insecurity
10.1%SNAP enrollment
7.8%Transit barriers
5.5%No health insurance
18.0%Frequent mental distress
23.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fox Point

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 7.5/10.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,667, 18% above the Providence average.

Against Providence County at 43.2%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 38 evictions over 2 years of observation. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 2.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 44007003700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007003700?

Census tract 44007003700 in the Fox Point neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 44007003700?

Median gross rent is $1,667/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 44007003700?

21.7% of residents in tract 44007003700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,783.

How socially vulnerable is tract 44007003700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 4th, minority 51th, housing 80th.

Is tract 44007003700 considered part of Fox Point?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007003700 fall within Fox Point (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007003700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007003700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.67% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 44007003700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 44007003700 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 44007003700 compare to Providence overall?

Tract 44007003700 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 44007003700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 56% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Providence

Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org