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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Waterbury Eviction Risk: Lower , Pearland

Tract 48039660706 · Brazoria, TX · pop 3,882 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 48039660706 covers part of the Waterbury area of Manvel, TX, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,882 residents. Cost burden runs 20% here against 46.2% across Brazoria County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 21% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,382
Renter share26.5%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate0.7%
Median income$170,281

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Waterbury
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Pearland
Very Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 77 tracts In Brazoria
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pearland and the region

Centroid at 29.5391, -95.3763 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterbury scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pearland
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
0.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,152 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pearland
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pearland
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pearland
5.7

How Waterbury compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waterbury risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 6607063.2Pearlandparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Waterbury. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterbury

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 70.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 19.0% against 31.5% nationally.

It sits 0.8 points below the Brazoria County average of 3.8. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $170,281, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,152, close to the Manvel average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48039660706

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48039660706?

Census tract 48039660706 in the Waterbury neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48039660706?

Median gross rent is $2,152/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48039660706?

0.7% of residents in tract 48039660706 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,882.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48039660706?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 18th, minority 73th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 48039660706 considered part of Waterbury?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48039660706 fall within Waterbury (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48039660706 compare to Pearland overall?

Tract 48039660706 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Pearland at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pearland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pearland

Top eight tracts in Pearland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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