Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Waterbury Eviction Risk: Lower , Pearland
Tract 48039660706 ·
Brazoria, TX · pop 3,882 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 48039660706 covers part of the Waterbury area of Manvel, TX, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,882 residents. Cost burden runs 20% here against 46.2% across Brazoria County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%Stable renters 21%Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,382
Renter share26.5%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate0.7%
Median income$170,281
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#4 of 4 tracts In Waterbury
Very Low
Within parent city
0th percentile
#5 of 5 tracts In Pearland
Very Low
Within county
13th percentile
#67 of 77 tracts In Brazoria
Very Low
Within state
35th percentile
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pearland and the region
Centroid at 29.5391, -95.3763 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterbury scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pearland
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
0.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,152 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pearland
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pearland
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pearland
5.7
How Waterbury compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 70.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 19.0% against 31.5% nationally.
It sits 0.8 points below the Brazoria County average of 3.8. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $170,281, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,152, close to the Manvel average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48039660706
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48039660706?
Census tract 48039660706 in the Waterbury neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48039660706?
Median gross rent is $2,152/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48039660706?
0.7% of residents in tract 48039660706 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,882.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48039660706?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 18th, minority 73th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 48039660706 considered part of Waterbury?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48039660706 fall within Waterbury (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48039660706 compare to Pearland overall?
Tract 48039660706 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Pearland at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pearland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pearland
Top eight tracts in Pearland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.