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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Waterbury Eviction Risk: Lower , Pearland

Tract 48039660704 · Brazoria, TX · pop 5,742 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 48039660704 in the Waterbury area of Pearland, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,742. 87% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Brazoria County average of 46.2%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 2% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,604
Renter share16.5%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$139,657

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Waterbury
Low
Within parent city
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 36 tracts In Pearland
Low
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#66 of 77 tracts In Brazoria
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pearland and the region

Centroid at 29.5494, -95.3581 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterbury scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pearland
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,769 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pearland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pearland
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pearland
2.0

How Waterbury compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waterbury risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 6607043.2Pearlandparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Waterbury. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterbury

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. At $2,769 a month, rents run 49% over what the rest of Pearland commands. The voucher gap is 119.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10.

21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Brazoria County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $139,657.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48039660704

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48039660704?

Census tract 48039660704 in the Waterbury neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48039660704?

Median gross rent is $2,769/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 87% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48039660704?

4.5% of residents in tract 48039660704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,742.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48039660704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 55th, minority 74th, housing 22th.
Q5

Is tract 48039660704 considered part of Waterbury?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48039660704 fall within Waterbury (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48039660704 compare to Pearland overall?

Tract 48039660704 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Pearland at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pearland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pearland

Top eight tracts in Pearland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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