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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,519 of 84,120 nationally

Waterbury Eviction Risk: Lower , Pearland

Tract 48039660703 · Brazoria, TX · pop 4,460 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Here is how census tract 48039660703, in the Waterbury neighborhood of Pearland eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,460. That is riskier than roughly 13% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 23% of renter households, a moderate level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,606 a month against an average household income of $117,904 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 41% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,473
Renter share53.8%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$117,904

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 4 tracts In Waterbury
Elevated
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileBottomTop
#12 of 36 tracts In Pearland
Elevated
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileBottomTop
#48 of 77 tracts In Brazoria
Low
Within state
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileBottomTop
#5,463 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pearland and the region

Centroid at 29.5486, -95.3773 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterbury scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pearland
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,606 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pearland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pearland
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pearland
2.0

How Waterbury compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waterbury risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.81.8This tracttract 660703Pearland: 1.61.6Pearlandparent cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 2.62.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Waterbury. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterbury

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pearland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Brazoria County average of 5.0 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48039660703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48039660703?

Census tract 48039660703 in the Waterbury neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48039660703?

Median gross rent is $1,606/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48039660703?

9.6% of residents in tract 48039660703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,460.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48039660703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 31th, minority 76th, housing 48th.

Q5

Is tract 48039660703 considered part of Waterbury?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48039660703 fall within Waterbury (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How does tract 48039660703 compare to Pearland overall?

Tract 48039660703 scores 1.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Pearland at 1.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pearland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pearland

Top eight tracts in Pearland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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