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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Waterbury Eviction Risk: Lower , Pearland

Tract 48039660703 · Brazoria, TX · pop 4,460 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 48039660703 in the Waterbury area of Pearland, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,460 residents. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Brazoria County average of 46.2%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 41% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,473
Renter share53.8%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$117,904

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Waterbury
Elevated
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 36 tracts In Pearland
Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 77 tracts In Brazoria
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pearland and the region

Centroid at 29.5486, -95.3773 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterbury scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pearland
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,606 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pearland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pearland
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pearland
2.0

How Waterbury compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waterbury risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 6607033.2Pearlandparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Waterbury. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterbury

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10. The voucher gap is 27.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 0.8 points below the Brazoria County average of 3.8.

At $1,606 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Pearland commands. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $117,904, annual rent is just 16%. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48039660703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48039660703?

Census tract 48039660703 in the Waterbury neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48039660703?

Median gross rent is $1,606/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48039660703?

9.6% of residents in tract 48039660703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,460.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48039660703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 31th, minority 76th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 48039660703 considered part of Waterbury?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48039660703 fall within Waterbury (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48039660703 compare to Pearland overall?

Tract 48039660703 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Pearland at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pearland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pearland

Top eight tracts in Pearland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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