Within parent city
24
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121020404 · Denton, TX · pop 4,968 · 64% of tract blocks fall in Denton
Census tract 48121020404 covers part of Denton, TX, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,968 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units2,086
Renter share54.6%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$80,219
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
National
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.2925, -97.1521 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,374 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 536Total filings 2020-21
- 7.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.22×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Denton County average of 45.5%. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,374, close to the Denton average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $80,219. 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020404?
Census tract 48121020404 in Denton scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020404?
Median gross rent is $1,374/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020404?
4.8% of residents in tract 48121020404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,968.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 17th, minority 58th, housing 77th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020404 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.22× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020404 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121020404 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020508
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021414
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020605
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020800
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020900
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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