Within parent city
27
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121021423 · Denton, TX · pop 2,928 · 74% of tract blocks fall in Denton
48121021423 is a census tract in Denton, TX. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,928. 65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Denton County average of 45.5%.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,258
Renter share46.9%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$85,094
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.1406, -97.1175 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,218 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 83Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.31×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton
Average gross rent is $2,218, 56% above the Denton average. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10. The voucher gap is 17.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.3/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $85,094.
47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021423
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021423?
Census tract 48121021423 in Denton scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021423?
Median gross rent is $2,218/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021423?
6.6% of residents in tract 48121021423 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,928.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021423?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 26th, minority 56th, housing 30th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021423 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.31× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121021423 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121021423 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021304
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020507
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020508
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021414
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020605
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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