Within parent city
30
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121021306 · Denton, TX · pop 3,220
Tract 48121021306 sits in Denton eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. It is home to 3,220 residents. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,370
Renter share41.8%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$96,447
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.1767, -97.1031 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,409 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 74Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.90×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton
The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 3.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $96,447, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,409, close to the Denton average. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021306
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021306?
Census tract 48121021306 in Denton scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021306?
Median gross rent is $1,409/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021306?
9.6% of residents in tract 48121021306 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,220.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021306?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 14th, minority 57th, housing 39th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021306 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.90× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121021306 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121021306 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121021203
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021204
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021304
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020507
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020508
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021414
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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