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Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Seguin Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48187210200 · Guadalupe, TX · pop 4,478

Census tract 48187210200 covers part of Seguin, TX, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,478 residents. Cost burden runs 53% here against 33.5% across Guadalupe County.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 23% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,675
Renter share49.3%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate30.2%
Median income$42,275

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 10 tracts In Seguin
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 41 tracts In Guadalupe
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#1,025 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seguin and the region

Centroid at 29.5851, -97.9757 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seguin scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seguin
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.2% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,125 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seguin
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seguin
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seguin
5.8

How Seguin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seguin risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 2102003.6Seguinparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 36Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.2%Peak (2004)
  • 36Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seguin

Adults with no health insurance runs 41.2% against 11.3% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Disability prevalence runs 48.8% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.3 points above the Guadalupe County average of 3.7.

Running hot, economic stress reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 36 evictions over 1 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2004, when 5.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.2% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48187210200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48187210200?

Census tract 48187210200 in Seguin scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48187210200?

Median gross rent is $1,125/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48187210200?

30.2% of residents in tract 48187210200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,478.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48187210200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 94th, minority 92th, housing 88th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48187210200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 36 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48187210200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.21% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 48187210200 compare to Seguin overall?

Tract 48187210200 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Seguin at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seguin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seguin

Top eight tracts in Seguin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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