Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Seguin Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48187210902 · Guadalupe, TX · pop 5,346 · 44% of tract blocks fall in Seguin
Census tract 48187210902 belongs to Seguin, Texas. It is home to 5,346 residents and scores 4.8/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 31st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 38% of renter households, a high level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,726 a month against an average household income of $90,947 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,135
Renter share21.5%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate17.9%
Median income$90,947
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seguin and the region
Centroid at 29.5664, -97.8925 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seguin scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seguin
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.9% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,726 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seguin
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seguin
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seguin
5.8
How Seguin compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.3%Peak (2004)
- 5Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Seguin
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seguin, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Guadalupe County average of 4.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 2.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.3% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48187210902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48187210902?
Census tract 48187210902 in Seguin scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48187210902?
Median gross rent is $1,726/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48187210902?
17.9% of residents in tract 48187210902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,346.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48187210902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 65th, minority 63th, housing 72th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48187210902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48187210902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.32% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 48187210902 compare to Seguin overall?
Tract 48187210902 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Seguin at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seguin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seguin
Top eight tracts in Seguin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48187210200
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48187210300
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48187210400
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48187210513
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48187210805
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48187210100
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48187210806
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48187210511
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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