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Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Seguin Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48187210513 · Guadalupe, TX · pop 1,346 · 34% of tract blocks fall in Seguin

In Seguin, census tract 48187210513 scores $1/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 37th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,074 monthly, set against $100,363 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 9% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 6% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units740
Renter share8.8%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate24.9%
Median income$100,363

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 10 tracts In Seguin
Elevated
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 41 tracts In Guadalupe
Very High
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#2,641 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,332 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seguin and the region

Centroid at 29.5994, -98.0152 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seguin scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seguin
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.9% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$2,074 rent vs county FMR
8.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seguin
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seguin
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seguin
5.8

How Seguin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seguin risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 210513Seguin: 2.32.3Seguinparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seguin

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 8.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seguin, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Guadalupe County average of 4.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48187210513

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48187210513?

Census tract 48187210513 in Seguin scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48187210513?

Median gross rent is $2,074/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48187210513?

24.9% of residents in tract 48187210513 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,346.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48187210513?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 27th, minority 40th, housing 7th.
Q5

How does tract 48187210513 compare to Seguin overall?

Tract 48187210513 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Seguin at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seguin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seguin

Top eight tracts in Seguin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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