Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Seguin Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48187210400 · Guadalupe, TX · pop 4,875

Tract 48187210400, home to 4,875 residents in Seguin, scores 4.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #67,769 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,189 monthly, set against $62,543 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 28% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,893
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$62,543

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 10 tracts In Seguin
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 41 tracts In Guadalupe
Very High
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#2,476 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,735 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seguin and the region

Centroid at 29.5663, -97.9448 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seguin scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seguin
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,189 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seguin
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seguin
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seguin
5.8

How Seguin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seguin risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 210400Seguin: 2.32.3Seguinparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.49%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.5%Peak (2004)
  • 8Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seguin

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seguin, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Guadalupe County average of 4.2 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 1.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.5% of renter households in 2004.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48187210400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48187210400?

Census tract 48187210400 in Seguin scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48187210400?

Median gross rent is $1,189/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48187210400?

13.6% of residents in tract 48187210400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,875.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48187210400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 93th, minority 66th, housing 85th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48187210400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48187210400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.49% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 48187210400 compare to Seguin overall?

Tract 48187210400 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Seguin at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seguin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seguin

Top eight tracts in Seguin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related