Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Seguin Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48187210400 · Guadalupe, TX · pop 4,875

48187210400 is a census tract in Seguin, TX. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,875 residents. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 28% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,893
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$62,543

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 10 tracts In Seguin
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 41 tracts In Guadalupe
Very High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#1,124 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seguin and the region

Centroid at 29.5663, -97.9448 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seguin scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seguin
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,189 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seguin
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seguin
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seguin
5.8

How Seguin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seguin risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 2104003.6Seguinparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.49%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.5%Peak (2004)
  • 8Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seguin

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

It sits 1.2 points above the Guadalupe County average of 3.7. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.5% against 11.3% nationally. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.2/10.

The filing record is not thin: 8 evictions over 1 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2004 at 1.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48187210400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48187210400?

Census tract 48187210400 in Seguin scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48187210400?

Median gross rent is $1,189/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48187210400?

13.6% of residents in tract 48187210400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,875.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48187210400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 93th, minority 66th, housing 85th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48187210400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48187210400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.49% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 48187210400 compare to Seguin overall?

Tract 48187210400 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Seguin at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seguin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seguin

Top eight tracts in Seguin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related