Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Seguin Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48187210805 · Guadalupe, TX · pop 2,448 · 54% of tract blocks fall in Seguin

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 48187210805 in Seguin, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,448. Severe burden reaches 47%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 6% Owners 80%

Tract context

Occupied units1,102

Renter share20.0%

SVI overall0.74

Poverty rate13.8%

Median income$65,962

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seguin and the region

Centroid at 29.5182, -97.9916 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seguin scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Seguin

4.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.8

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

13.8% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Seguin

4.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Seguin

7.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Seguin

5.8

How Seguin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

55%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
66%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seguin

Cost burden runs 71% here against 33.5% across Guadalupe County. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

It sits 1.1 points above the Guadalupe County average of 3.7. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.2/10.

That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48187210805

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48187210805?

Census tract 48187210805 in Seguin scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48187210805?

13.8% of residents in tract 48187210805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,448.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48187210805?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 77th, minority 66th, housing 81th.

How does tract 48187210805 compare to Seguin overall?

Tract 48187210805 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Seguin at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seguin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seguin

Top eight tracts in Seguin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.