Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Seguin Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48187210806 · Guadalupe, TX · pop 3,055 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Seguin

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 48187210806 in Seguin, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,055 residents. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 13% Owners 83%

Tract context

Occupied units1,198

Renter share16.9%

SVI overall0.83

Poverty rate6.5%

Median income$61,985

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seguin and the region

Centroid at 29.5436, -97.9700 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seguin scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Seguin

4.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.8

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

6.5% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$1,135 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Seguin

4.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Seguin

7.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Seguin

5.8

How Seguin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

75%Socioeconomic
70%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
84%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seguin

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10.

25% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Guadalupe County average of 33.5%. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.9% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Guadalupe County average of 3.7 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,135, close to the Seguin average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $61,985.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48187210806

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48187210806?

Census tract 48187210806 in Seguin scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48187210806?

Median gross rent is $1,135/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48187210806?

6.5% of residents in tract 48187210806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,055.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48187210806?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 70th, minority 77th, housing 84th.

How does tract 48187210806 compare to Seguin overall?

Tract 48187210806 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Seguin at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seguin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seguin

Top eight tracts in Seguin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.