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Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Seguin Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48187210100 · Guadalupe, TX · pop 4,164

Tract 48187210100 sits in Seguin, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. It is home to 4,164 residents. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 21% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,714
Renter share30.0%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$56,398

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 10 tracts In Seguin
Low
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 41 tracts In Guadalupe
High
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#2,131 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,813 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seguin and the region

Centroid at 29.5878, -97.9539 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seguin scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seguin
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,135 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seguin
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seguin
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seguin
5.8

How Seguin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seguin risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 2101003.6Seguinparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 47Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 8.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.4%Peak (2004)
  • 47Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seguin

Adults with no health insurance runs 28.5% against 11.3% nationally. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10.

The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 47 filings here across 1 tracked years. It sits 0.7 points above the Guadalupe County average of 3.7.

Filings peaked in 2004 at 8.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

30% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48187210100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48187210100?

Census tract 48187210100 in Seguin scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48187210100?

Median gross rent is $1,135/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48187210100?

7.4% of residents in tract 48187210100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,164.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48187210100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 95th, minority 76th, housing 74th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48187210100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 47 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48187210100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.44% of renter households, peaking at 8.4% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 48187210100 compare to Seguin overall?

Tract 48187210100 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Seguin at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seguin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seguin

Top eight tracts in Seguin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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