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Census Tract · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Seguin Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 48187210200 · Guadalupe, TX · pop 4,478

The Moderate-tier score of 5.3/10 for census tract 48187210200 reflects conditions in Seguin, Texas. That is riskier than roughly 48% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,125 a month while the average household earns $42,275 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 23% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,675
Renter share49.3%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate30.2%
Median income$42,275

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 10 tracts In Seguin
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 41 tracts In Guadalupe
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#525 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
National
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#10,885 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seguin and the region

Centroid at 29.5851, -97.9757 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seguin scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seguin
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.2% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,125 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seguin
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seguin
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seguin
5.8

How Seguin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seguin risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 210200Seguin: 2.32.3Seguinparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 36Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.2%Peak (2004)
  • 36Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seguin

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seguin, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Guadalupe County average of 4.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 36 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 5.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.2% of renter households in 2004.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48187210200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48187210200?

Census tract 48187210200 in Seguin scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48187210200?

Median gross rent is $1,125/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48187210200?

30.2% of residents in tract 48187210200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,478.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48187210200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 94th, minority 92th, housing 88th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48187210200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 36 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48187210200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.21% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 48187210200 compare to Seguin overall?

Tract 48187210200 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Seguin at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seguin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seguin

Top eight tracts in Seguin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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