Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Lyon Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

Tract 51013101503 · Arlington County, VA · pop 1,872 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 51013101503 sits in the Lyon Village area of Arlington eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. Population here is 1,872. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 20% Owners 70%

Tract context

Occupied units731

Renter share29.5%

SVI overall0.02

Poverty rate1.4%

Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8903, -77.1007 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lyon Village scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Arlington

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.2

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

1.4% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,563 rent vs county FMR

6.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Arlington

4.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Arlington

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Arlington

6.0

How Lyon Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

2%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
27%Racial/ethnic minority
17%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lyon Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.5%Housing insecurity
2.8%Utility-shutoff threat
4.3%Food insecurity
2.7%SNAP enrollment
3.3%Transit barriers
4.4%No health insurance
12.0%Frequent mental distress
18.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lyon Village

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Disability prevalence runs 18.3% against 31.5% nationally.

Against Arlington County at 38.9%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Against the Arlington County average of 5.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. Average gross rent is $2,563, 10% above the Arlington average. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $250,001, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013101503

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013101503?

Census tract 51013101503 in the Lyon Village neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51013101503?

Median gross rent is $2,563/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013101503?

1.4% of residents in tract 51013101503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,872.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013101503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 3th, minority 27th, housing 17th.

Is tract 51013101503 considered part of Lyon Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013101503 fall within Lyon Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51013101503 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51013101503 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013101503 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.