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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Langley Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , McLean

Tract 51059470100 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,659 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

51059470100 is a census tract in the Langley Oaks area of McLean, VA. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,659. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 1% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units875
Renter share2.9%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Langley Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 13 tracts In McLean
Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#248 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Very Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#1,505 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across McLean and the region

Centroid at 38.9594, -77.1631 · click any tract to drill in

Why Langley Oaks scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McLean
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from McLean
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McLean
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from McLean
4.1

How Langley Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Langley Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 470100McLean: 4.04.0McLeanparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 3.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak (2013)
  • 2Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594701002011: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (3.23/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Langley Oaks

The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.4/10. SNAP participation runs 2.1% against 15.2% nationally.

48% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Fairfax County average of 41.0%. Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2 filings here across 1 tracked years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2013, when 3.2% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 1.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059470100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059470100?

Census tract 51059470100 in the Langley Oaks neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059470100?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059470100?

1.7% of residents in tract 51059470100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,659.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059470100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 29th, minority 43th, housing 0th.
Q5

Is tract 51059470100 considered part of Langley Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059470100 fall within Langley Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059470100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51059470100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.23% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059470100 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059470100 compare to McLean overall?

Tract 51059470100 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of McLean at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McLean eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in McLean

Top eight tracts in McLean ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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