Franklin Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , McLean
Tract 51059470900 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 7,619 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51059470900 covers part of the Franklin Forest area of McLean, VA, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,619 residents. The voucher gap is 35.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across McLean and the region
Centroid at 38.9072, -77.1659 · click any tract to drill in
Why Franklin Forest scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Franklin Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7Total filings over 3 yrs
- 0.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.7%Peak (2011)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.4%Food insecurity
- 3.4%SNAP enrollment
- 3.5%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 10.4%Frequent mental distress
- 22.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Franklin Forest
28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.6/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.4/10. Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 41.0% across Fairfax County. Housing insecurity runs 4.7% against 14.2% nationally.
It sits 0.9 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 7 filings here across 3 tracked years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2011 at 0.7% of renter households.
At $3,145 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of McLean commands. In a typical year about 0.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51059470900
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059470900?
What is the average rent in tract 51059470900?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059470900?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059470900?
Is tract 51059470900 considered part of Franklin Forest?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059470900?
What share of households in tract 51059470900 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059470900 compare to McLean overall?
Highest-risk tracts in McLean
Top eight tracts in McLean ranked by composite eviction-risk score.