Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Belleview Eviction Risk: Lower , McLean
Tract 51059480302 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,601 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
51059480302 is a census tract in the Belleview area of McLean, VA. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,545
Renter share26.3%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across McLean and the region
Centroid at 38.9540, -77.2439 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belleview scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from McLean
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,400 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from McLean
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McLean
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from McLean
4.1
How Belleview compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.9%Food insecurity
- 3.4%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 4.8%No health insurance
- 10.6%Frequent mental distress
- 20.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belleview
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. At $2,400 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of McLean commands.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.4/10. Cost burden runs about half here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
Food insecurity runs 5.9% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.9 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.9/10. Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is just 12%.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059480302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059480302?
Census tract 51059480302 in the Belleview neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059480302?
Median gross rent is $2,400/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059480302?
2.2% of residents in tract 51059480302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,601.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059480302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 30th, minority 62th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 51059480302 considered part of Belleview?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059480302 fall within Belleview (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059480302 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059480302 compare to McLean overall?
Tract 51059480302 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of McLean at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McLean eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in McLean
Top eight tracts in McLean ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Clearview Manor
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
West McLean
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Westhampton
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Chain Bridge Forest
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Ingleside
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Franklin Forest
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
McLean Hamlet
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Haver Hills
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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