Neighborhood · Ranked #83,884 of 84,120 nationally

Belleview Eviction Risk: Lower , McLean

Tract 51059480302 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,601 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 51059480302, home to 4,601 residents in the Belleview neighborhood of McLean, scores 5.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #31,123 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,400 a month against an average household income of $250,001 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 13% Owners 74%

Tract context

Occupied units1,545

Renter share26.3%

SVI overall0.21

Poverty rate2.2%

Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across McLean and the region

Centroid at 38.9540, -77.2439 · click any tract to drill in

Why Belleview scores 1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from McLean

8.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

2.2% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,400 rent vs county FMR

5.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from McLean

5.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from McLean

3.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from McLean

4.1

How Belleview compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

2%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.9%Housing insecurity
3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
5.9%Food insecurity
3.4%SNAP enrollment
3.7%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
10.6%Frequent mental distress
20.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Belleview

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 5.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from McLean eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059480302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059480302?

Census tract 51059480302 in the Belleview neighborhood scores 1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51059480302?

Median gross rent is $2,400/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059480302?

2.2% of residents in tract 51059480302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,601.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059480302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 30th, minority 62th, housing 61th.

Is tract 51059480302 considered part of Belleview?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059480302 fall within Belleview (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51059480302 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51059480302 compare to McLean overall?

Tract 51059480302 scores 1/10, lower than the parent city of McLean at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McLean eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in McLean

Top eight tracts in McLean ranked by composite eviction-risk score.