Virginia Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Centreville
Tract 51059491102 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,336 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 3.5/10, tract 51059491102 in the Virginia Run area of Centreville, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,336 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Centreville and the region
Centroid at 38.8563, -77.4679 · click any tract to drill in
Why Virginia Run scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Virginia Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 3 yrs
- 3.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.3%Peak (2011)
- 2Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Virginia Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 4.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 22.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Virginia Run
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. SNAP participation runs 4.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 6 eviction filings across 3 observed years. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10.
Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Housing insecurity runs 6.9% against 14.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 5.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51059491102
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491102?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491102?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491102?
Is tract 51059491102 considered part of Virginia Run?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491102?
What share of households in tract 51059491102 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059491102 compare to Centreville overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Centreville
Top eight tracts in Centreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.