Neighborhood · Centreville, VA

Virginia Run Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,336 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.5–3.5

Virginia Run is a neighborhood in Centreville with 1 census tract and a population of 3,336 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 0% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income).

Risk score

3.5

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Virginia Run vs Centreville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

0.0% -100%

Centreville: 30.6%

Average gross rent

$0 -100%

Centreville: $2,299

Average HH income

$183,594 +28%

Centreville: $143,704

Poverty rate

1.5% -75%

Centreville: 6.1%

Renter share

3.1% -88%

Centreville: 26.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.5–3.5

Why Virginia Run scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Rent control risk

0% of income on rent · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts

2.7

Tenant organizing strength

3% renter households · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Economic stress

1.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Risk score comparison

Virginia Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Virginia Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51059491102	3.5	3,336	0%	,

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 4

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 12%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 12%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 8%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Virginia Run

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

9Total filings (sum)
3.78%Avg annual filing rate
5.3%Peak year (2011)
4.86%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Virginia Run

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

5.9%Housing insecurity
3.5%Utility shutoff threat
6.7%Food insecurity
4.1%SNAP enrollment
5.5%No health insurance
21.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Virginia Run

What is the eviction-risk score for Virginia Run?

Virginia Run scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Virginia Run compare to Centreville overall?

Virginia Run scores 0.6 points lower than Centreville overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 0% of income on rent vs 31% citywide.

What percentage of Virginia Run residents are renters?

3% of Virginia Run households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Centreville). The neighborhood has 3,336 residents.

Is Virginia Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Virginia Run sits in the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Virginia Run for landlords?

Virginia eviction laws Run carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Centreville as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Virginia Run?

Virginia Run has 3,415 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.3%), Hispanic / Latino (19.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Virginia Run

4.5 London Towne 2 tracts · pop 9,984 4.9 Centre Heights 3 tracts · pop 12,381 3.8 Willow Springs 3 tracts · pop 15,131 3.9 Uniontown 4 tracts · pop 18,062 4.1 Brookfield 3 tracts · pop 17,598 4 Greens of Fair Lakes 4 tracts · pop 19,124

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