Centre Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Centreville
Tract 51059491202 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 1,768 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.8/10 for census tract 51059491202 reflects conditions in the Centre Heights area of Centreville, Virginia. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.
46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,258 a month against an average household income of $86,107 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 99% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Centreville and the region
Centroid at 38.8407, -77.4385 · click any tract to drill in
Why Centre Heights scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Centre Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 209Total filings over 4 yrs
- 6.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.8%Peak (2011)
- 52Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Centre Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.8%Food insecurity
- 9.2%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 10.6%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Centre Heights
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Centreville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 209 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 6.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.8% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51059491202
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491202?
What is the average rent in tract 51059491202?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491202?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491202?
Is tract 51059491202 considered part of Centre Heights?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491202?
What share of households in tract 51059491202 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059491202 compare to Centreville overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Centreville
Top eight tracts in Centreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.