Centre Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Centreville
Tract 51059491303 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,145 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 51059491303 covers part of the Centre Heights area of Centreville, VA, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,145 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.9/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Centreville and the region
Centroid at 38.8344, -77.4383 · click any tract to drill in
Why Centre Heights scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Centre Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 60Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2016)
- 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Centre Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 9.7%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 12.8%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Centre Heights
32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Fairfax County average of 41.0%. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10.
Court records carry 60 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10.
At $2,060 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Centreville commands. Filings peaked in 2016 at 3.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
It tracks the Fairfax County average of 4.3 closely. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $121,009. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51059491303
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491303?
What is the average rent in tract 51059491303?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491303?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491303?
Is tract 51059491303 considered part of Centre Heights?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491303?
What share of households in tract 51059491303 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059491303 compare to Centreville overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Centreville
Top eight tracts in Centreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.