Gayton Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Short Pump

The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

Against the Henrico County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. SNAP participation runs 5.1% against 15.2% nationally.

The voucher gap is 15.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Housing insecurity runs 6.7% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.9/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 51% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.