Neighborhood · Short Pump, VA

Gayton Park Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,801 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.5/10 · range 1.5–1.5

Gayton Park is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Short Pump with 1 census tract and a population of 4,801 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 32% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,967/month sits 6% higher than the Short Pump citywide average ($1,847).

Risk score

1.5

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Gayton Park vs Short Pump How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

50.5% +96%

Short Pump: 25.8%

Average gross rent

$1,967 +6%

Short Pump: $1,847

Average HH income

$115,256 -13%

Short Pump: $132,194

Poverty rate

4.0% -8%

Short Pump: 4.4%

Renter share

51.6% +22%

Short Pump: 42.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gayton Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.5–1.5

Why Gayton Park scores 1.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Rent control risk

51% of income on rent · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

52% renter households · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts

8.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts

3.7

Economic stress

4.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Risk score comparison

Gayton Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Gayton Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51087200140	1.5	4,801	51%	$1,967

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 32%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 81%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gayton Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.7%Housing insecurity
4.4%Utility shutoff threat
7.3%Food insecurity
5.1%SNAP enrollment
5.0%No health insurance
23.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Gayton Park

What is the eviction-risk score for Gayton Park?

Gayton Park scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Gayton Park compare to Short Pump overall?

Gayton Park scores 1.6 points lower than Short Pump overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $1,967 vs $1,847.

What is the average rent in Gayton Park?

Average gross rent in Gayton Park is $1,967/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Gayton Park residents are renters?

52% of Gayton Park households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Short Pump). The neighborhood has 4,801 residents.

Is Gayton Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Gayton Park sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Gayton Park for landlords?

Gayton Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Short Pump as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Gayton Park?

Gayton Park has 4,995 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (19.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gayton Park

1.6 Barrington Valley 2 tracts · pop 5,553 1.2 Addison at Wyndham 2 tracts · pop 7,429 3 Wedgewood 3 tracts · pop 10,047 2.9 Grayson Hill 2 tracts · pop 10,031 2 Laurel Lakes 2 tracts · pop 10,729 3.3 Laurel Village 2 tracts · pop 7,275

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Short Pump

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Gayton Park.

1.4 Bridlewood 1 tracts · pop 5,066 1.7 Barrington Valley 2 tracts · pop 5,553 1.7 Kensington Green at Wellesley 1 tracts · pop 2,959 1.2 Huntwick at Wellesley 1 tracts · pop 3,982 1.1 Addison at Wyndham 2 tracts · pop 7,429 1.1 Westfield 1 tracts · pop 8,070

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