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Neighborhood · Short Pump, VA

Gayton Park Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,801 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Gayton Park maps to a single census tract in Short Pump, VA, population 4,801. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. Cost burden runs roughly one in two against 25.8% citywide, putting Gayton Park 24.7% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

The voucher gap is 15.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation is 5.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 7.3% of adults, 10.5 points below the national rate. At $1,967 a month, rents sit 6% over what the rest of Short Pump commands.

Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Short Pump, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $115,256.

52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Gayton Park vs Short Pump How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.5% +96%
Short Pump: 25.8%
Average gross rent
$1,967 +6%
Short Pump: $1,847
Average HH income
$115,256 -13%
Short Pump: $132,194
Poverty rate
4.0% -8%
Short Pump: 4.4%
Renter share
51.6% +22%
Short Pump: 42.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gayton Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Gayton Park scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
52% renter households · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Economic stress
4.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Risk score comparison

Gayton Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Gayton Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Gayton ParkNeighborhood3.1Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Gayton Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51087200140 3 4,801 51% $1,967
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 32%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 81%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gayton Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Gayton Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Gayton Park?

Gayton Park scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Gayton Park compare to Short Pump overall?

Gayton Park scores 0.1 points lower than Short Pump overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $1,967 vs $1,847.
Q3

What is the average rent in Gayton Park?

Average gross rent in Gayton Park is $1,967/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Gayton Park residents are renters?

52% of Gayton Park households are renter-occupied (vs 42% in Short Pump). The neighborhood has 4,801 residents.
Q5

Is Gayton Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Gayton Park sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Gayton Park for landlords?

Gayton Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Short Pump as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Gayton Park?

Gayton Park has 4,995 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (19.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gayton Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Short Pump

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Gayton Park.

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