Huntwick at Wellesley Eviction Risk: Lower , Short Pump

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

It sits 1.3 points below the Henrico County average of 4.3. At $1,564 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Short Pump commands. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.0% against 11.3% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $140,720, annual rent is just 13%.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.