Marumsco Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Woodbridge
Tract 51153900202 · Prince William County, VA · pop 4,124 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
51153900202 is a census tract in the Marumsco Village area of Woodbridge, VA. It scores 6/10 for landlords. Against Prince William County at 43.3%, 15% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Woodbridge and the region
Centroid at 38.6629, -77.2665 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marumsco Village scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Marumsco Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 12Total filings over 1 yrs
- 5.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.7%Peak (2016)
- 12Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Marumsco Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.2%Food insecurity
- 10.2%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 17.8%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 30.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Marumsco Village
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
Against the Prince William County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10.
The filing record is not thin: 12 evictions over 1 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 5.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 4.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51153900202
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153900202?
What is the average rent in tract 51153900202?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153900202?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153900202?
Is tract 51153900202 considered part of Marumsco Village?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153900202?
What share of households in tract 51153900202 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153900202 compare to Woodbridge overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Woodbridge
Top eight tracts in Woodbridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.