Neighborhood · Ranked #35,939 of 84,120 nationally

Featherstone Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Woodbridge

Tract 51153900702 · Prince William County, VA · pop 8,311 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Eviction risk in the Featherstone Shores neighborhood of Woodbridge centers on tract 51153900702, which scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 8,311 residents. On the national scale it ranks #31,149 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 24% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,227 a month against an average household income of $110,810 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 11% Owners 85%

Tract context

Occupied units2,271

Renter share14.9%

SVI overall0.56

Poverty rate10.2%

Median income$110,810

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Woodbridge and the region

Centroid at 38.6183, -77.2637 · click any tract to drill in

Why Featherstone Shores scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Woodbridge

7.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

10.2% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$2,227 rent vs county FMR

4.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Woodbridge

6.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Woodbridge

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Woodbridge

5.5

How Featherstone Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

66%Socioeconomic
36%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

69Total filings over 1 yrs
9.36%Avg annual filing rate
9.4%Peak (2016)
69Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Featherstone Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.5%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
13.7%Food insecurity
9.1%SNAP enrollment
7.5%Transit barriers
11.9%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
26.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Featherstone Shores

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Woodbridge eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Prince William County average of 5.7 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 69 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 9.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.4% of renter households in 2016.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51153900702

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153900702?

Census tract 51153900702 in the Featherstone Shores neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51153900702?

Median gross rent is $2,227/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51153900702?

10.2% of residents in tract 51153900702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,311.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51153900702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 36th, minority 86th, housing 33th.

Is tract 51153900702 considered part of Featherstone Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153900702 fall within Featherstone Shores (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153900702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51153900702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.36% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 51153900702 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51153900702 compare to Woodbridge overall?

Tract 51153900702 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Woodbridge at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodbridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Woodbridge

Top eight tracts in Woodbridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.