Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Featherstone Shores Eviction Risk: Elevated , Woodbridge
Tract 51153900702 · Prince William County, VA · pop 8,311 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
51153900702 is a census tract in the Featherstone Shores area of Woodbridge, VA. It scores 6.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 8,311. Against Prince William County at 43.3%, 24% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,271
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$110,810
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Woodbridge and the region
Centroid at 38.6183, -77.2637 · click any tract to drill in
Why Featherstone Shores scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Woodbridge
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$2,227 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Woodbridge
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Woodbridge
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Woodbridge
5.5
How Featherstone Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 69Total filings over 1 yrs
- 9.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.4%Peak (2016)
- 69Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Featherstone Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.7%Food insecurity
- 9.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 11.9%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 26.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Featherstone Shores
It sits 2.4 points above the Prince William County average of 4.1. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.1/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 69 evictions over 1 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2016, when 9.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 9.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter. Average gross rent is $2,227, close to the Woodbridge average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $110,810.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51153900702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153900702?
Census tract 51153900702 in the Featherstone Shores neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51153900702?
Median gross rent is $2,227/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153900702?
10.2% of residents in tract 51153900702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,311.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153900702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 36th, minority 86th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 51153900702 considered part of Featherstone Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153900702 fall within Featherstone Shores (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153900702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51153900702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.36% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51153900702 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51153900702 compare to Woodbridge overall?
Tract 51153900702 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Woodbridge at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodbridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Woodbridge
Top eight tracts in Woodbridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Marumsco Hills
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Featherstone Shores
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Jefferson Plaza
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Marumsco Village
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Jefferson Plaza
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Potomac Town Center
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Marumsco Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Marumsco Hills
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Related