Neighborhood · Ranked #49,613 of 84,120 nationally

Featherstone Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Woodbridge

Tract 51153900100 · Prince William County, VA · pop 3,234 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 51153900100, home to 3,234 residents in the Featherstone Shores neighborhood of Woodbridge, scores 5.5/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 55% of US census tracts.

About 20% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,592 monthly, set against $146,700 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 11% Owners 86%

Tract context

Occupied units1,536

Renter share13.5%

SVI overall0.11

Poverty rate1.6%

Median income$146,700

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Woodbridge and the region

Centroid at 38.6261, -77.2499 · click any tract to drill in

Why Featherstone Shores scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Woodbridge

7.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

1.6% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,592 rent vs county FMR

6.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Woodbridge

6.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Woodbridge

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Woodbridge

5.5

How Featherstone Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

7%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
66%Racial/ethnic minority
12%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

6Total filings over 1 yrs
2.04%Avg annual filing rate
2.0%Peak (2016)
6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Featherstone Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.3%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
7.6%Food insecurity
5.0%SNAP enrollment
4.6%Transit barriers
6.1%No health insurance
12.3%Frequent mental distress
25.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Featherstone Shores

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Woodbridge eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Prince William County average of 5.7 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51153900100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153900100?

Census tract 51153900100 in the Featherstone Shores neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51153900100?

Median gross rent is $2,592/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51153900100?

1.6% of residents in tract 51153900100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,234.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51153900100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 27th, minority 66th, housing 12th.

Is tract 51153900100 considered part of Featherstone Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153900100 fall within Featherstone Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153900100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51153900100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.04% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 51153900100 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51153900100 compare to Woodbridge overall?

Tract 51153900100 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Woodbridge at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodbridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Woodbridge

Top eight tracts in Woodbridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.