Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Featherstone Shores Eviction Risk: Elevated , Woodbridge
Tract 51153900601 · Prince William County, VA · pop 3,620 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 7.3/10, tract 51153900601 in the Featherstone Shores area of Woodbridge, VA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,620. It sits 3.2 points above the Prince William County average of 4.1.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units975
Renter share10.8%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate18.1%
Median income$105,817
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Woodbridge and the region
Centroid at 38.6363, -77.2572 · click any tract to drill in
Why Featherstone Shores scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Woodbridge
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
18.1% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Woodbridge
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Woodbridge
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Woodbridge
5.5
How Featherstone Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Featherstone Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.1%Housing insecurity
- 10.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.1%Food insecurity
- 15.7%SNAP enrollment
- 10.9%Transit barriers
- 19.2%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 33.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Featherstone Shores
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.1/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.4/10. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Adults with no health insurance runs 19.2% against 11.3% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.4/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.1 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51153900601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153900601?
Census tract 51153900601 in the Featherstone Shores neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153900601?
18.1% of residents in tract 51153900601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,620.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153900601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 89th, minority 84th, housing 36th.
Q4
Is tract 51153900601 considered part of Featherstone Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153900601 fall within Featherstone Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 51153900601 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51153900601 compare to Woodbridge overall?
Tract 51153900601 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Woodbridge at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodbridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Woodbridge
Top eight tracts in Woodbridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Marumsco Hills
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Jefferson Plaza
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Marumsco Village
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Jefferson Plaza
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Potomac Town Center
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Featherstone Shores
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Marumsco Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Marumsco Hills
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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