Queensdale Eviction Risk: Lower , Dale City
Tract 51153901226 · Prince William County, VA · pop 6,384 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 51153901226 in the Queensdale area of Dale City ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 6,384 residents. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
65% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 51% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,201 monthly, set against $170,217 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 7% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Dale City and the region
Centroid at 38.6711, -77.3684 · click any tract to drill in
Why Queensdale scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Queensdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 15Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2016)
- 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.5%Food insecurity
- 9.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Queensdale
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 4.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dale City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Prince William County average of 5.7 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 15 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 6.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.4% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51153901226
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901226?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901226?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901226?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901226?
Is tract 51153901226 considered part of Queensdale?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901226?
What share of households in tract 51153901226 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901226 compare to Dale City overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Dale City
Top eight tracts in Dale City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.