Cloverdale Eviction Risk: Lower , Dale City
Tract 51153900409 · Prince William County, VA · pop 5,003 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51153900409 covers part of the Cloverdale area of Dale City, VA, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,003. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Dale City and the region
Centroid at 38.6282, -77.3235 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cloverdale scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Cloverdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 29Total filings over 1 yrs
- 10.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.0%Peak (2016)
- 29Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.7%Food insecurity
- 11.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.1%Transit barriers
- 15.8%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 30.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Cloverdale
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Against Prince William County at 43.3%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.7/10. Court records carry 29 eviction filings across 1 observed years.
Against the Prince William County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2016, when 10.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 10.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51153900409
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153900409?
What is the average rent in tract 51153900409?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153900409?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153900409?
Is tract 51153900409 considered part of Cloverdale?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153900409?
What share of households in tract 51153900409 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153900409 compare to Dale City overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Dale City
Top eight tracts in Dale City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.