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Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally

Silverdale Eviction Risk: Lower , Dale City

Tract 51153901228 · Prince William County, VA · pop 6,578 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

In Silverdale in Dale City, census tract 51153901228 scores 5.3/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 48% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,847 monthly, set against $113,984 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 7% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,826
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$113,984

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Silverdale
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 13 tracts In Dale City
Elevated
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 93 tracts In Prince William County
Elevated
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#1,393 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dale City and the region

Centroid at 38.6398, -77.3642 · click any tract to drill in

Why Silverdale scores 2.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dale City
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,847 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dale City
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dale City
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dale City
2.2

How Silverdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Silverdale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.12.1This tracttract 901228Dale City: 3.73.7Dale Cityparent cityCounty: 1.91.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 14Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 6.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.9%Peak (2016)
  • 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Silverdale

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 3.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dale City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Prince William County average of 5.7 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51153901228

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901228?

Census tract 51153901228 in the Silverdale neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51153901228?

Median gross rent is $1,847/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901228?

6.2% of residents in tract 51153901228 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,578.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901228?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 41th, minority 82th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 51153901228 considered part of Silverdale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153901228 fall within Silverdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901228?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51153901228 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.86% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51153901228 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51153901228 compare to Dale City overall?

Tract 51153901228 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Dale City at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dale City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dale City

Top eight tracts in Dale City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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