Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Daleview Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Dale City
Tract 51153901203 · Prince William County, VA · pop 3,536 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 51153901203 covers part of the Daleview Manor area of Dale City, VA, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,536. Cost burden runs about a quarter here against 43.3% across Prince William County.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,363
Renter share15.9%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$106,234
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dale City and the region
Centroid at 38.6527, -77.3343 · click any tract to drill in
Why Daleview Manor scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dale City
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,217 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dale City
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dale City
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dale City
2.2
How Daleview Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2016)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 10.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 13.6%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Daleview Manor
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.1/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.7/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10. At $2,217 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Dale City commands.
The filing record is not thin: 8 evictions over 1 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 6.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
It tracks the Prince William County average of 4.1 closely. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $106,234.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51153901203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901203?
Census tract 51153901203 in the Daleview Manor neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51153901203?
Median gross rent is $2,217/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901203?
6.7% of residents in tract 51153901203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,536.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 52th, minority 77th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 51153901203 considered part of Daleview Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153901203 fall within Daleview Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51153901203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.06% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51153901203 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51153901203 compare to Dale City overall?
Tract 51153901203 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Dale City at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dale City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dale City
Top eight tracts in Dale City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Forestdale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Evansdale
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Brightwood Forest
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Silverdale
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Princedale
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Neabsco Hills
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Mapledale
3
/ 10 · Low
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