Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Silverdale Eviction Risk: Lower , Dale City
Tract 51153901228 · Prince William County, VA · pop 6,578 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 51153901228 covers part of the Silverdale area of Dale City, VA, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,578 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.1/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,826
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$113,984
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dale City and the region
Centroid at 38.6398, -77.3642 · click any tract to drill in
Why Silverdale scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dale City
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,847 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dale City
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dale City
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dale City
2.2
How Silverdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 14Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.9%Peak (2016)
- 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.7%Food insecurity
- 11.2%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 12.4%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Silverdale
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.7/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 14 filings here across 1 tracked years.
Against the Prince William County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2016 at 6.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 6.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 4.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,847, close to the Dale City average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51153901228
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901228?
Census tract 51153901228 in the Silverdale neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51153901228?
Median gross rent is $1,847/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901228?
6.2% of residents in tract 51153901228 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,578.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901228?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 41th, minority 82th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 51153901228 considered part of Silverdale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153901228 fall within Silverdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901228?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51153901228 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.86% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51153901228 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51153901228 compare to Dale City overall?
Tract 51153901228 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Dale City at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dale City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dale City
Top eight tracts in Dale City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Forestdale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Evansdale
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Brightwood Forest
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Daleview Manor
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Princedale
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Neabsco Hills
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Kerrydale
3
/ 10 · Low
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