Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Cameron Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Alexandria
Tract 51510200701 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 764 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51510200701 covers part of the Cameron Valley area of Alexandria, VA, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. This is renter territory: 97% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 61%
Owners 2%
Tract context
Occupied units545
Renter share97.1%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$130,478
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alexandria and the region
Centroid at 38.8036, -77.0816 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cameron Valley scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Alexandria
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,348 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alexandria
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alexandria
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alexandria
5.5
How Cameron Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.1%Food insecurity
- 4.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 5.8%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 17.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cameron Valley
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Disability prevalence runs 17.8% against 31.5% nationally. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
SNAP participation runs 4.9% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
At $2,348 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Alexandria commands. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
38% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Alexandria City average of 5.7 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51510200701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510200701?
Census tract 51510200701 in the Cameron Valley neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51510200701?
Median gross rent is $2,348/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51510200701?
6.2% of residents in tract 51510200701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 764.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51510200701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 0th, minority 56th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 51510200701 considered part of Cameron Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51510200701 fall within Cameron Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51510200701 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51510200701 compare to Alexandria overall?
Tract 51510200701 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Alexandria at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria
Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Dowden Terrace
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Beverley Hills
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
WestEnd Alexandria
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Lincolnia Park
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Shirley Duke
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
WestEnd Alexandria
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
WestEnd Alexandria
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
WestEnd Alexandria
7
/ 10 · Elevated
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