Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

WestEnd Alexandria Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 51510200304 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 2,618 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 51510200304 belongs to the WestEnd Alexandria neighborhood of Alexandria, Virginia. It is home to 2,618 residents and scores 6.6/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,691 a month against an average household income of $71,429 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 73% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 32% Owners 27%

Tract context

Occupied units1,798

Renter share72.7%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate21.6%

Median income$71,429

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Alexandria and the region

Centroid at 38.8166, -77.1314 · click any tract to drill in

Why WestEnd Alexandria scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Alexandria

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

21.6% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$1,691 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Alexandria

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Alexandria

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Alexandria

5.5

How WestEnd Alexandria compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

70%Socioeconomic
83%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
54%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within WestEnd Alexandria. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.1%Housing insecurity
10.5%Utility-shutoff threat
18.5%Food insecurity
16.6%SNAP enrollment
10.2%Transit barriers
10.2%No health insurance
17.0%Frequent mental distress
33.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in WestEnd Alexandria

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Alexandria City County average of 5.9 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51510200304

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510200304?

Census tract 51510200304 in the WestEnd Alexandria neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51510200304?

Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51510200304?

21.6% of residents in tract 51510200304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,618.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51510200304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 83th, minority 76th, housing 54th.

Is tract 51510200304 considered part of WestEnd Alexandria?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51510200304 fall within WestEnd Alexandria (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51510200304 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51510200304 compare to Alexandria overall?

Tract 51510200304 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Alexandria at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria

Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.