Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

WestEnd Alexandria Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 51510200109 · Alexandria city, VA · pop 5,205 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

51510200109 is a census tract in the WestEnd Alexandria area of Alexandria, VA. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,205 residents. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

7.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 27% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units1,996

Renter share51.0%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate16.4%

Median income$85,129

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Alexandria and the region

Centroid at 38.8238, -77.1362 · click any tract to drill in

Why WestEnd Alexandria scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Alexandria

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

16.4% poverty · this tract

4.1

Supply constraint

$1,785 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Alexandria

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Alexandria

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Alexandria

5.5

How WestEnd Alexandria compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
67%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within WestEnd Alexandria. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.5%Housing insecurity
11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
20.5%Food insecurity
16.6%SNAP enrollment
10.6%Transit barriers
13.5%No health insurance
17.0%Frequent mental distress
29.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in WestEnd Alexandria

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.4/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

It sits 1.6 points above the Alexandria City average of 5.7. On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10.

47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Alexandria City average of 41.2%. Average gross rent is $1,785, 15% below the Alexandria average.

Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.7/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.1 points hotter.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $85,129. 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51510200109

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510200109?

Census tract 51510200109 in the WestEnd Alexandria neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51510200109?

Median gross rent is $1,785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51510200109?

16.4% of residents in tract 51510200109 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,205.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51510200109?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 27th, minority 80th, housing 67th.

Is tract 51510200109 considered part of WestEnd Alexandria?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51510200109 fall within WestEnd Alexandria (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51510200109 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51510200109 compare to Alexandria overall?

Tract 51510200109 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Alexandria at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria

Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.