Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Braddock Eviction Risk: Moderate , Alexandria
Tract 51510201400 ·
Alexandria city, VA · pop 4,132 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 4.7/10, tract 51510201400 in the Braddock area of Alexandria, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,132 residents. Cost burden runs 57% here against 41.2% across Alexandria City.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%Stable renters 19%Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,864
Renter share44.6%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$143,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Braddock
Moderate
Within parent city
2th percentile
#47 of 48 tracts In Alexandria
Very Low
Within county
0th percentile
#48 of 48 tracts In Alexandria city
Very Low
Within state
70th percentile
#649 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Alexandria and the region
Centroid at 38.8219, -77.0617 · click any tract to drill in
Why Braddock scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alexandria
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,949 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alexandria
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alexandria
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alexandria
5.5
How Braddock compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
12%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
32%Racial/ethnic minority
64%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.5%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
6.2%Food insecurity
4.3%SNAP enrollment
4.2%Transit barriers
5.5%No health insurance
14.0%Frequent mental distress
20.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Braddock
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 4.3% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 1.0 points below the Alexandria City average of 5.7. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.4/10. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $143,750, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,949, close to the Alexandria average. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51510201400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51510201400?
Census tract 51510201400 in the Braddock neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51510201400?
Median gross rent is $1,949/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51510201400?
2.9% of residents in tract 51510201400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,132.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51510201400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 4th, minority 32th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 51510201400 considered part of Braddock?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51510201400 fall within Braddock (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51510201400 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51510201400 compare to Alexandria overall?
Tract 51510201400 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Alexandria at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alexandria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Alexandria
Top eight tracts in Alexandria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.