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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

River Arch Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550020907 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 2,071 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 4.6/10 for census tract 51550020907 reflects conditions in River Arch Village in Chesapeake, Virginia. On the national scale it ranks #63,671 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,199 monthly, set against $83,750 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 46% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 23% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,171
Renter share46.3%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$83,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In River Arch Village
Very High
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
High
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1,094 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.7333, -76.2542 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Arch Village scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,199 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How River Arch Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
River Arch Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 020907Chesapeake: 3.63.6Chesapeakeparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within River Arch Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Arch Village

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 3.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550020907

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020907?

Census tract 51550020907 in the River Arch Village neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51550020907?

Median gross rent is $1,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020907?

14.2% of residents in tract 51550020907 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,071.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020907?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 12th, minority 34th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 51550020907 considered part of River Arch Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550020907 fall within River Arch Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51550020907 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51550020907 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550020907 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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