Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

River Arch Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550020908 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 3,165 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 51550020908 sits in the River Arch Village area of Chesapeake eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. Population here is 3,165. Cost burden runs 18% here against 49.2% across Chesapeake City.

Risk score

3.4

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 26% Owners 68%

Tract context

Occupied units1,314

Renter share31.9%

SVI overall0.10

Poverty rate7.5%

Median income$91,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.7380, -76.2693 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Arch Village scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chesapeake

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

7.5% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,799 rent vs county FMR

5.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chesapeake

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chesapeake

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chesapeake

3.5

How River Arch Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
66%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within River Arch Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.5%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
9.2%Food insecurity
6.9%SNAP enrollment
5.7%Transit barriers
5.7%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
26.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Arch Village

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10.

18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally.

On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. Average gross rent is $1,799, 13% above the Chesapeake average. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 1.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Chesapeake City average of 3.6 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $91,667.

32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550020908

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020908?

Census tract 51550020908 in the River Arch Village neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51550020908?

Median gross rent is $1,799/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020908?

7.5% of residents in tract 51550020908 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,165.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020908?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 4th, minority 66th, housing 9th.

Is tract 51550020908 considered part of River Arch Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550020908 fall within River Arch Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51550020908 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51550020908 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550020908 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.