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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Bells Mill Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550021005 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 5,773 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 51550021005 in the Bells Mill area of Chesapeake, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,773. Cost burden runs roughly one in four here against 49.2% across Chesapeake City.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 9% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,528
Renter share12.6%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$140,549

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Bells Mill
Very Low
Within parent city
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#47 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#48 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.7189, -76.2738 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bells Mill scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,929 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How Bells Mill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bells Mill risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0210053.4Chesapeakeparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 123Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 9.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.4%Peak (2011)
  • 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51550021005
Filings dropped 38% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bells Mill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bells Mill

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.6/10.

Average gross rent is $1,929, 22% above the Chesapeake average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 123 filings here across 6 tracked years. The voucher gap is 13.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. Against the Chesapeake City average of 3.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 13.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550021005

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021005?

Census tract 51550021005 in the Bells Mill neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51550021005?

Median gross rent is $1,929/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021005?

6.4% of residents in tract 51550021005 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,773.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021005?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 23th, minority 56th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 51550021005 considered part of Bells Mill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021005 fall within Bells Mill (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51550021005?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 123 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51550021005 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.47% of renter households, peaking at 13.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51550021005 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51550021005 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550021005 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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