Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally
Bells Mill Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021005 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 5,773 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Bells Mill in Chesapeake anchors census tract 51550021005, which lands at 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 8th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 25% of renter households, a moderate level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,929 monthly, set against $140,549 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,528
Renter share12.6%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$140,549
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
19
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7189, -76.2738 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bells Mill scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,929 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Bells Mill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 123Total filings over 6 yrs
- 9.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.4%Peak (2011)
- 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bells Mill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.9%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bells Mill
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 123 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 9.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.4% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550021005
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021005?
Census tract 51550021005 in the Bells Mill neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550021005?
Median gross rent is $1,929/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021005?
6.4% of residents in tract 51550021005 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,773.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021005?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 23th, minority 56th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 51550021005 considered part of Bells Mill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021005 fall within Bells Mill (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51550021005?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 123 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51550021005 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.47% of renter households, peaking at 13.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51550021005 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51550021005 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550021005 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Westover
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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