Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Bells Mill Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021016 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 4,398 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 51550021016 belongs to Bells Mill in Chesapeake, Virginia. It is home to 4,398 residents and scores 4.6/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 24% of US census tracts.
About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,891 a month against an average household income of $99,766 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,818
Renter share10.1%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$99,766
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7116, -76.2877 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bells Mill scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,891 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Bells Mill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bells Mill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.2%Food insecurity
- 6.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bells Mill
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550021016
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021016?
Census tract 51550021016 in the Bells Mill neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550021016?
Median gross rent is $1,891/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021016?
6.4% of residents in tract 51550021016 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,398.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021016?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 78th, minority 54th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 51550021016 considered part of Bells Mill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021016 fall within Bells Mill (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51550021016 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51550021016 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550021016 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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